Concordat membership stirs fierce foreign policy debate
A strategic shift?
THE HAGUE – the bill is on the table, the game is afoot. Yesterday, the government formally submitted a proposal for Knootoss to join the ‘Concordat’ alliance of Midlonia, Euroslavia, Hallad, Tiburon, the Freethinker Commonwealth and Zepplin Manufacturer Industries after getting the formal approval from the Council of State. Knootoss already enjoys strong bilateral ties with all of these countries (bar Hallad, which could present a problem of its own) and is likely to be welcomed with open arms.
The new alliance proposal raises the question if the new progressive coalition of Jan Willem Daatman will continue the strategic foreign policy of Galadriël, or if this means a shift in strategic focus away from relying on VERITAS, towards a rebalancing of Knootian vital interests. The former, the foreign policy experts of the Liberals and Greens reassure, the latter charge the opposition Conservatives and the pro-Menelmacari Elvish party.
Government concerns
The Daatman administration, by mouth of Green Foreign Affairs and Defence minister Femke Vologdov, has officially presented joining the Concordat as a common-sense case of deepening ties with nations already friendly to the Dutch Democratic Republic. Indeed, joining the Concordat would likely provide tangible economic, cultural, military and diplomatic advantages. Unofficially and off the record, it is also said that the Concordat is a more robust alliance when it comes to defending Knootian interests. The refusal of many VERITAS nations to lend even diplomatic support in the Excalbian Isles crisis has left policymakers wary of relying
solely on VERITAS for national security purposes. Concerns such as these are not voiced in any official documents, but the The Hague cafés and clubs frequented by the policy elite are buzzing with intrigue and discontent. There are fears that the replacement of Galadiël by a left-wing coalition will lead to an ambivalent approach from Menelmacar and the C’tan (the two leading nations in VERITAS). Further concerns are voiced about the deterioration of Lavenrunzian democracy, and a serious military incident with the Lavenrunzians which alleged to have taken place during Operation Tempo Dulu. Other, anonymous, policymakers voiced open distrust towards the Austar Union and its credibility as an ally as well as its questionable respect for Sentient Rights.
“I would not say that VERITAS is unreliable. Its members are amongst the most respected nations,” an official said on condition of anonymity,
”but unlike Galadriël, I do not put blind faith in them coming to help Knootoss when we need it.”
Opposition strategy
The opposition RCPK and the Knootian Elvish Party together reject the treaty, claiming that it is ‘anti-Elvish sentiments’ driving the decision. This allegation has been rejected angrily by Jan Willem Daatman as
“dangerous politics, creating rifts between Knootians where there are none”. The opposition, however, needs only point to history: the van der Laan administration (Liberal/Green) before Galadriël came to power enjoyed historically bad relations with Menelmacar, eventually losing the political support of the SLP over percieved international distrust of the very progressive partners it was trying to find while alienating longstanding alliances with the Elvish/Capitalist sphere. If the conservative strategy is successful, it could force the very same rift in the Liberal/Green alliance that swept the conservatives into power thirteen years ago.
Consensus
Knootian parties traditionally seek to come to a three-party consensus on matters of Strategic Foreign Policy to prevent erratic foreign policy changes from happening due to a shift in the domestic balance of power. The Conservative opposition may not have the votes to stop Knootoss from joining the Concordat now, but if their opposition persists it may present problems in the future. On the other hand, Minister Vologdov is determined to pull ahead, pointing out (rightly) that an inquiry into joining the Concordat is part of the Coalition agreement. Her claim that joining the Concordat is not a shift in Strategic Foreign Policy is especially important because it excludes the need for a three-party consensus on joining.
A number of roadblocks still exists, most notably the membership of the communist Workers Republic of Hallad in Haven poses problems. Another issue is Concordat institutional reform, which is necessary to make the treaty more efficient. Presuming that these roadblocks can be overcome, it will be interesting to see how the Foreign Policy game unfolds
~Jan Roodborst is a political scientist at the University of Amsterdam.